Offseason Power Rankings – Dec. 4

The first three days of December saw plenty of transactions across Major League Baseball. It is hard to find a team that didn’t make a move. There are likely still more to come, but it’s time for my weekly power rankings with the help of Steamer! If you are unfamiliar with the process you can find it here. A lot of jostling in the rankings due to a lot of trades and signings. I will break down each net gain or loss in wins for each team following the rankings. Here they are!

Rank
Prev.
Team
WAR
Wins
Losses
Net
11Red Sox46.293690
22Tigers439072-3
312Rays40.788742
49Athletics40.788742
55Royals4087750
67Blue Jays39.887750
74Rangers39.78775-1
83Angels39.68775-2
96Cardinals39.18676-1
108Diamondbacks38.78676-1
1110Dodgers38.486760
1211Giants37.28478-2
1313Indians36.98478-2
1416Nationals35.983792
1524Yankees35.683798
1614Orioles358280-1
1717Braves34.582801
1815Pirates33.581810
1919Padres3279830
2018Reds30.67884-2
2121Twins3077851
2220Mariners29.377850
2322Brewers27.875870
2425Cubs26.874881
2526Rockies26.874881
2623Mets25.47389-2
2727White Sox25.27290-1
2828Phillies23.17092-1
2929Astros22.670920
3030Marlins21.369932

The Winners

New York Yankees – Improved their record by 8 wins with the signings of Brendan Ryan, Kelly Johnson, and of course Jacoby Ellsbury. The Yanks found their 2B and replaced below replacement innings from Vernon Wells with an All-Star outfielder.

Tampa Bay Rays The Rays gained 2 wins yesterday with the trade that netted them Ryan Hanigan and Heath Bell. Hanigan alone is worth the upgrade here. Typical Tampa move.

Washington Nationals  The Nationals were another huge winner this week. They flat out STOLE Doug Fister from the Tigers. When I say stole, I mean they should be getting 25 to life. They didn’t give up any true asset and gained a top 30 MLB starting pitcher. The acquisition raised them 2 wins in the standings.

Oakland Athletics Their most beneficial acquisition was Scott Kazmir, but Craig Gentry, Jim Johnson, and Luke Gregerson also helped. A net 2 win gain for them as well.

Miami Marlins The Marlins signed Jarrod Saltalamacchia yesterday on a pretty sweet deal. Only $21M over 3 years. This signing netted them 2 wins, but couldn’t help them surpass the Astros.

Minnesota TwinsThe Twins signed Phil Hughes to accompany the freshly inked Ricky Nolasco. Phil Hughes’ signing nets the Twins a win in the standings.

Colorado Rockies – Their trade with the Astros (Lyles and Fowler) came out near the same, but rounding gave them an extra win. Yay!

The Braves and Cubs saw increases due to slight changes in playing time projections. The Toronto Blue Jays improved their WAR by 0.6 with Dioner Navarro and Erik Kratz, but it was not enough to change their wins.

The Losers

Detroit Tigers – Who else? They gave away a top 30 pitcher for relatively nothing. Joe Nathan doesn’t have a big enough band-aid to cover this wound. A net loss of 3 wins for the Tigers.

Cincinnati Reds – They lost Ryan Hanigan. The Rays willingly took him off their hands and the Reds lose 2 wins.

Texas Rangers – The Rangers lost an outfielder in Gentry, but received Michael Choice back. Still a slight loss, -1 win.

Baltimore Orioles – Financially, dumping Jim Johnson’s last year or arbitration on the A’s is probably good for them, but it loses them a win on paper.

Everyone else who didn’t keep up and saw projection losses due to replacement level changing. Note: The Mets lost 2 wins as Matt Harvey was removed from their projections.

Here are the divisions with these projections, with playoff teams bolded:

AL East

Red Sox 93-69
Rays 88-74
Blue Jays 87-75
Yankees 83-79
Orioles 82-80

AL Central

Tigers 90-72
Royals 87-75
Indians 84-78
Twins 77-85
White Sox 72-90

AL West

Athletics 88-74
Rangers 
87-75
Angels
 87-75
Mariners 77-85
Astros 70-92

NL East

Nationals 83-79
Braves 82-80
Mets 73-89
Phillies 70-92
Marlins 69-93

NL Central

Cardinals 86-76
Pirates 81-81
Reds 78-84
Brewers 75-87
Cubs 74-88

NL West

Diamondbacks 86-76
Dodgers 86-76
Giants 84-78
Padres 79-83
Rockies 74-88

Theoretical World Series: Red Sox vs. Cardinals with the Red Sox winning it all. Didn’t change from last week, but the Diamonbacks are still very close behind the Cards.

Prospect Chat with Marc Hulet, FanGraphs
Bird's-Eye View: Rob Rasmussen

Author: Chris Carruthers

Chris has been a baseball (and Jays) fan for 15 years. He has also played since the age of 6, working his way through Little League and Babe Ruth Baseball as a catcher and first baseman. He got interested in sabermetrics after viewing the movie Moneyball. His continuous self-learning in sabermetrics and advanced stats is driven by his engineering background and love for numbers. Chris's go-to website is FanGraphs, where he has had a few previous community submissions. Chris also enjoys music and plays guitar in his sparse spare time from his studies. He also follows hockey and his favourite team, the Calgary Flames. Follow Chris on Twitter @CCBreakingBlue.

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