Offseason Power Rankings – Jan 2
Not much has been happening in baseball land since the Winter Meetings, but it’s time to throw out some updated rankings for the new year. These rankings are strictly based off of Steamer projections and some playing time adjustments by FanGraphs. I’ll post the rankings and then review some of the moves that affected them. If a team lost a win, it is usually because another team gained one and someone has to lose it! The projections are 2.6 WAR too high per team, or about 5.5%.
Texas Rangers: The Rangers inked Shin-Soo Choo to a 7 year deal recently. This signing filled a corner outfield position and gained them two full wins. This jumps them to first in the AL West in the projections, and third overall.
Los Angeles Dodgers: The Dodgers resigned their third baseman Juan Uribe and also some minor bullpen signings. Uribe is coming off a fantastic season seeing him accumulate 5.1 WAR. He’s projected for 2.7 this year, which gives the Dodgers two more wins and moves them to first in the NL West.
Minnesota Twins: The Twins dumped the worst pitcher-framing catcher of our era, Ryan Doumit, and replaced him with a better-framing Kurt Suzuki. See Matt Carruth’s (nice last name) data at StatCorner. This switch gained them a win.
San Diego Padres: The Padres signed former Tiger’s closer, Joaquin Benoit, recently. Benoit will likely set-up Street in San Diego, but this move was enough to add a win.
Houston Astros: The Astros tried to patch their bullpen by signing Chad Qualls and Matt Albers. The Astros’ bullpen was horrific last year and could use some stability. These two men combined to add a win for the runt of the American League.
The only transaction that led to a loss of wins was the Angels signing of Raul Ibanez. Ibanez is near replacement level, and his singing took some ABs away from J.B. Shuck. The Angels fell one win.
Here are the divisions with these projections, with playoff teams bolded:
Red Sox 92-70
Blue Jays 85-77
White Sox 73-89
Theoretical World Series: Red Sox vs. Dodgers with the Red Sox winning it all. The Dodgers have taken over from the Cards as NL favourites!