Projecting Hitting Prospects’ MLB Primes
Feb04

Projecting Hitting Prospects’ MLB Primes

It’s that time of year again when all your favourite prospect buffs and baseball sites are coming out with their top prospects lists heading into the season. Most of the lists are based on scouting and the perceived ability of the player. Age versus level is also brought up fairly often when talking about how a prospect handles a certain league at a certain age. Are these prospects going to perform well enough to stay in the...

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Ranking MLB Starting Rotations: 25-21
Jan28

Ranking MLB Starting Rotations: 25-21

This is the second of 6 parts in my series of ranking MLB starting rotations. The first part can be found here. The rankings will be largely based off of my projections, with some manual fiddling. Pitchers who are all but guaranteed spots in their respective rotations will be included, and then any other spots will be filled with the best pitcher available. The projections are considered to be in a vacuum (no park factors, team...

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Ranking 2013 Blue Jays Pitches With TIPS
Jan12

Ranking 2013 Blue Jays Pitches With TIPS

TIPS is an ERA estimator that I have created and can be read about here. TIPS excels in small samples and works on a pitch-by-pitch level. This makes it the perfect tool to analyze different pitches. ERA, xFIP, SIERA, and FIP wouldn’t work for a specific pitch type since they only deal with the end result of a plate appearance. The pitch values displayed on FanGraphs work on a pitch level basis, but they are the ERA (RA9)...

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Ranking MLB Starting Rotations: 30-26
Jan07

Ranking MLB Starting Rotations: 30-26

This is the first of 6 parts in my series ranking MLB starting rotations. The rankings will be largely based off of my projections, with some manual fiddling. Pitchers who are all but guaranteed spots in their respective rotations will be included, and then any other spots will be filled with the best pitcher available. The projections are considered to be in a vacuum (no park factors, team defense, or catcher help). This makes it...

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2014 Breaking Blue Pitcher Projections
Jan04

2014 Breaking Blue Pitcher Projections

My 2014 pitcher projections are finally here! I’m not going to give away all my secrets and mathematical formulae, but here are some points on my projections: – They are NOT¬†park or league adjusted, everyone is assumed to be in a league average environment. If you want to calculate what a pitcher’s ERA or FIP would be in their park, use FanGraphs’ Guts page for factors. For example Madison Bumgarner’s...

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