A Primer and Review on Value Calculations – Part 1
Dec01

A Primer and Review on Value Calculations – Part 1

One of the things that we’re going to be doing quite often here at Breaking Blue is value calculations. These involve comparing a player’s production (actual or projected) and cost in order to determine how much they are or were “worth”. By comparing cost to production we can place a monetary value on players, and determine where they fall on the spectrum from significant asset to significant liability. Here is a basic example. In...

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RA Dickey and the Knuckleballer Aging Curve
Nov27

RA Dickey and the Knuckleballer Aging Curve

R.A. Dickey is on everyone’s minds right now thanks to our rising star Chris Carruthers’ excellent research into the The Dickey Effect, so I decided to update and re-post some knuckleball research that I did last offseason, after Toronto traded for Dickey. R.A. Dickey had a rough first season in Toronto. His 4.21 ERA and 4.58 FIP were both much worse than his three year 2.95 ERA with the Mets. From 2010-2012, Dickey ranked...

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Bird Seed: McCann, Peralta, Samardzija, Nolasco, Anthopoulos
Nov24

Bird Seed: McCann, Peralta, Samardzija, Nolasco, Anthopoulos

Bird Seed is your regular recap of recent baseball happenings, information, rumours, and how it all affects the Blue Jays. The catching market got even thinner yesterday when the Yankees gave Brian McCann a five year, 85 million dollar contract to shave his facial hair and catch baseballs for them. The contract apparently includes a vesting option on the sixth year at $15 million. McCann has been worth 3.9, 1.7, and 2.7 fWAR in his...

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Fielder for Kinsler, and Big Contract Hot Potato
Nov21

Fielder for Kinsler, and Big Contract Hot Potato

The first big news of the offseason caught everyone by surprise last night, but it may have just been the latest occurrence of a growing trend in Major League Baseball. The Prince Fielder – Ian Kinsler swap by Texas and Detroit is a blockbuster by any measure. 56.8 combined career fWAR is changing teams, along with eight combined All Star appearances, three Silver Slugger awards (all Fielder’s), three 20/20 seasons (all...

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What is Jose Bautista Worth?
Nov19

What is Jose Bautista Worth?

The Blue Jays are in a rather awkward situation. In 2013 they went all-in for short term success by selling the farm and upping the payroll, but they crapped out hard. Now Alex Anthopoulos has more or less forced himself to try and compete in the next couple of years despite having a team that clearly (if 2012 was any indication) needs some significant improvements, a payroll situation likely near its allotted ceiling, and a minor...

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