2015 FRIAS Pitching Projections Review
(Title photo courtesy of Keith Allison, https://www.flickr.com/photos/keithallison/) Back in March, I decided that it would be interesting to have a pitching projection system that only used one season of data to project the next season and so I created FRIAS, which projects the three basic DIPS components (walks, strikeouts, home runs) and folds them into a projected FIP. I thought that this was an interesting idea for a few reasons....
Some ALCS Thoughts and Links Entering Game Three
(Title photo courtesy of Arturo Pardavila, https://www.flickr.com/photos/apardavila/) The Blue Jays are in a familiar position in the American League Championship Series, having dropped the first two games. Luckily for them, this series is a best-of-seven, so they have more breathing room at this point than they did in the ALDS against Texas. Still, they’re in a hole and Fangraphs gives them only a 20% of advancing to the World...
Three Interesting Statistical Themes of the Blue Jays’ 2015 Season
(Title photo courtesy of Keith Allison, https://www.flickr.com/photos/keithallison/) With a loss at the hands of the Tampa Bay Rays, the Blue Jays finished the season 93-69, well above pre-season and pre-August expectations, but also well short of their BaseRuns and Pythagorean records. It’s been a great season all around for the club that won the 2015 AL East. And with the season coming to a close and the postseason roster and...
Chris Sale and a Different Way to Look at the AL Cy Young Race
(Title photo courtesy of Keith Allison, https://www.flickr.com/photos/keithallison/) Awards voting is always a popular topic in September, as the teams out of contention pile up and the postseason nears. Baseball is a sport that lends itself to debates and when given formal opportunities to do so (Hall of Fame voting, comparing players of different eras, which records are unbreakable, seasonal awards, anything to do with scouting and...
Fantasy Keeper Pitching Sleepers For 2016
(Title photo courtesy of Arturo Pardavila III, https://www.flickr.com/photos/apardavila/) On Friday, Nik published an article that included some good sleeper position players to target going forward. Here is its pitching counterpart. These are some pitchers who for some reason or another, either statistically- or scouting-based, I like at a level that far exceeds what is perceived to be their value. Many sleeper lists are a mix of hot...
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