Using July Stats To Discern Predictive Quality of Our Batted Ball and Plate Discipline Models
Aug09

Using July Stats To Discern Predictive Quality of Our Batted Ball and Plate Discipline Models

(Title photo courtesy of Paul Hadsall, https://www.flickr.com/photos/paulhadsall/ . Paul Goldschmidt had the best xwOBA of any hitter entering July.) Breaking Blue has been rolling out periodic and incremental updates to our “xSlash” project. This is an attempt to use advanced batted ball and plate discipline statistics to create expected batting lines. One of the exciting statistical stories of the 2015 season is the...

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Blue Jays Do Well In Acquiring Troy Tulowitzki
Jul29

Blue Jays Do Well In Acquiring Troy Tulowitzki

(Title photo credit to SD Dirk, https://www.flickr.com/photos/dirkhansen/) Wow. There is no other expression that describes the move the Blue Jays made early Tuesday morning than surprise. It was spectacular and came totally out of nowhere. Alex Anthopoulos has a peculiar tendency to find ways to acquire elite players and he did it again. Troy Tulowitzki, one of the best players in baseball and the best shortstop in baseball, is...

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The Blue Jays Are Strongly Incentivized To Buy Despite .500 Record
Jul28

The Blue Jays Are Strongly Incentivized To Buy Despite .500 Record

(Title photo of Mike Leake courtesy of David, https://www.flickr.com/photos/bootbearwdc/) The Toronto Blue Jays have endured a very frustrating first four months to the 2015 season. As you are no doubt aware, the Blue Jays lead the major leagues in runs scored by a very wide margin. They’ve circled the bases at a rate that seems out of place in the current pitching-dominated era. And they’ve also allowed a lot of runs. But...

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Aaron Loup is Having a Career Year (In Terms of Things He Can Control)
Jul25

Aaron Loup is Having a Career Year (In Terms of Things He Can Control)

(Title photo courtesy of Keith Allison, https://www.flickr.com/photos/keithallison/) The Toronto Blue Jays have suffered a maddening number of close losses this season — they are 10-20 in one-run games and have piled up 15 blown saves (note that blown saves can include the loss of a lead in innings before the ninth). There are countless ways to express these late-game struggles; essentially, the Blue Jays wins have come...

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What the Blue Jays Should Be Willing to Pay for Starting Pitching Help
Jul17

What the Blue Jays Should Be Willing to Pay for Starting Pitching Help

(Title photo courtesy of slgckgc,  https://www.flickr.com/photos/slgc/14138684259) The Blue Jays need for starting pitching has been well-documented. For years now, the team has struggled to put together a full rotation of quality starting pitchers. This season, they are 25th in baseball in terms of xFIP- with a mark of 111 (ERA- of 112). Last year, 22nd and the year before, 23rd. It’s been an issue and for the past two years,...

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